Are Mortgage Rates Really Going Up?
Lisa Manwaring • March 3, 2021
With all the economic uncertainty caused by a global pandemic, unprecedented unemployment levels, and government stimulus, mortgage rates have been on a steady decline for almost a year. In fact, we’ve hit some historic lows along the way.
Now, despite the Bank of Canada committing to keeping interest rates low into 2023, if you’ve been listening to the media in the last couple of weeks, you may have heard that interest rates are currently on the rise. But if the government is working to keep rates low, it doesn’t make sense for them to be going up? Well, the key here is to compare apples to apples.
The Bank of Canada controls the overnight rate target, impacting the prime rate, which impacts variable-rate mortgages. In contrast, fixed-rate mortgages get their cue from the bond market.
So while variable rates haven’t moved, the bond market has seen a lot of action, which has caused an increase in fixed-rate mortgages. Since February 5th, Canadian bond yields have surged by almost 0.60%, bringing us to record 12-month highs. In the last 2 weeks alone, we’ve seen rate increases of 0.10% to 0.30% on certain fixed mortgage terms.
So what does this mean for you?
Firstly, make sure you have perspective. There isn’t an emergency here, no need to act rashly. While we’ve seen an increase in fixed-rate mortgages by up to 0.30%, we’re still in a very low rate environment. Two years ago, fixed rates were over 3%, while you can still find terms under 2% today. That’s a huge drop.
Just because fixed-rate mortgages have gone up doesn’t mean you’ll qualify for any less of a mortgage. As the government uses a qualifying rate to stress test your mortgage, the actual contract rate isn’t used to qualify your mortgage.
So, if you’re looking to buy a property in the next little while, interest rates are still very low. It’s a great time to get a rate hold and pre-approval. Let’s talk! At the same time, if your existing mortgage is up for renewal soon or you’d like to refinance to access some equity, interest rates are still very low, historically speaking, we should evaluate all your options. Again, let’s talk!
Regardless of your situation, if you would like a little more clarity on how increasing rates impact you, or if you’d like to discuss mortgage financing, please reach out and contact me anytime. I would love to work with you!
RECENT POSTS
The Bank of Canada announced today that it is holding its target for the overnight rate at 2.25%, with the Bank Rate at 2.5% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. While Canada's economic recovery is broadening, a new layer of uncertainty has entered the picture. Here is what happened and what it means for your mortgage.
Cashback Mortgages: Are They Worth It? Here’s What You Need to Know If you’ve been exploring mortgage options and come across the term cashback mortgage , you might be wondering what exactly it means—and whether it’s a smart move. Let’s break it down in simple terms. What Is a Cashback Mortgage? A cashback mortgage is just like a regular mortgage—but with one extra feature: you receive a lump sum of cash when the mortgage closes . This cash is typically: A fixed amount , or A percentage of the total mortgage , usually between 1% and 7% , depending on your mortgage term and lender. The money is tax-free and paid directly to you on closing day. What Can You Use the Cashback For? There are no restrictions on how you use the funds. Here are some common uses: Covering closing costs Buying new furniture Renovations or home upgrades Paying off high-interest debt Boosting your cashflow during a tight transition Whether it’s to help you settle in or catch up financially, cashback can offer a helpful buffer— but it comes at a cost . The True Cost of a Cashback Mortgage Here’s the part many people overlook: cashback mortgages come with higher interest rates than standard mortgages. Why? Because the lender is essentially advancing you a small loan upfront—and they’re going to make that money back (and then some) through your mortgage payments. So while the upfront cash feels like a bonus, you’ll pay more in interest over time to have that convenience. Breaking Down the Numbers It’s hard to give a blanket answer about how much more you’ll pay since it depends on: Your interest rate The cashback amount The mortgage term Your payment schedule This is why it’s important to run the numbers with a mortgage professional who can help you compare this option with others based on your personal financial situation. Are You Eligible for a Cashback Mortgage? Not everyone qualifies. Cashback mortgages generally come with stricter requirements . Lenders often want to see: Excellent credit history Strong, stable income Low debt-to-income ratio If your mortgage file includes anything “outside the box”—like being self-employed or recently changing jobs—qualifying for a cashback mortgage might be tough. What If You Need to Break the Mortgage? This is one of the biggest risks with cashback mortgages. If your circumstances change and you need to break your mortgage early, you could be on the hook for: Paying back some or all of the cashback you received, and A prepayment penalty (typically the interest rate differential or 3 months’ interest—whichever is higher) That can be a very expensive combination. So if there’s even a chance you might need to sell, refinance, or move before your term is up, a cashback mortgage might not be the best fit. Should You Consider a Cashback Mortgage? Maybe—but only with eyes wide open. Cashback mortgages can be helpful in the right scenario, but they’re not free money. They’re a lending tool that benefits the lender , and the key is knowing exactly what you’re agreeing to. Final Thoughts: Talk to an Expert First Choosing the right mortgage isn’t just about the lowest rate or the biggest perk—it’s about making a choice that fits your whole financial picture. If you’re considering a cashback mortgage, or just want to explore all your options, let’s talk. As an independent mortgage professional , I can help you weigh the pros and cons of various products, so you can make a confident, informed decision. Have questions? I’d be happy to help—reach out anytime.
